Dongfang Jincheng: In 2025, the policy interest rate cut may reach 0.5 percentage points. the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Dongfang Jincheng judges that in 2025, the central bank will continue to implement vigorous interest rate cuts and RRR cuts, among which the policy rate cuts may reach 0.5 percentage points, which is significantly higher than the rate cut of 0.3 percentage points this year, and the interest rates of various structural monetary policy instruments will also be lowered in a timely manner, thus guiding the financing costs of enterprises and residents to go down. It is not ruled out that in 2025, it is possible to continue to implement a large-scale targeted interest rate cut on residential mortgages by greatly guiding the downward trend of LPR quotations for more than five years. (The Paper)Jingxing Paper: The second phase of Malay project is expected to start in the first quarter of 2025. Jingxing Paper said in an institutional survey on December 9 that the capacity utilization rate of the company's packaging paper is relatively high, except for necessary maintenance and downtime, it is basically in the state of full-load operation, and the annual output this year is about 1.5 million tons. On the issue of the company's capital expenditure plan in the later period, Jingxing Paper said that the company's largest capital expenditure plan at present is the Malay Phase II project, which is expected to be officially launched in the first quarter of next year, with an estimated construction period of two years.Hua Fu Securities Interpretation of the Politburo Meeting in December: More incremental policies can be expected in the future. The Hua Fu Securities Research Report pointed out that the Politburo Meeting in December decided to implement more active and promising macro policies in economic work next year, which released major signals to the market, including: First, it proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy, which was also proposed in response to the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic in 2020. Second, it is proposed to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, which is more positive than the previous statement. Moreover, from the historical experience, the "moderately loose" monetary policy implemented in China after the last financial crisis in 2009-2010 has significantly enhanced its support for economic growth. This change in expression will send a clearer and clearer policy signal to the market. Third, it is proposed for the first time to strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment, and more incremental policies can be expected in the future. Fourth, after the policy adjustment, the expansion of domestic demand will be put in the first place, which highlights the importance and policy determination of expanding domestic demand next year. The follow-up consumption promotion policy may exert its efforts in many aspects, such as continuously promoting the trade-in of consumer goods, introducing incremental measures related to service consumption, and improving the support and protection of low-and middle-income people. Fifth, it is clearly proposed to stabilize the property market stock market, which will help to continuously consolidate the momentum of stabilization and recovery of the real estate market and give full play to the important functions of the capital market.
USD/JPY rose more than 0.50% in the day and is now reported at 150.63.Western Mining Group Co., Ltd. signed a cooperation framework agreement with Changsha Mining and Metallurgy Research Institute Co., Ltd. According to WeChat official account of Western Mining, on December 9, the group company signed a cooperation framework agreement with Changsha Mining and Metallurgy Research Institute Co., Ltd., and conducted exchanges and discussions on project experience, technical advantages and personnel technical exchanges around mining and metallurgical business cooperation.Chengtou Holdings: The subsidiary plans to invest 640 million yuan to participate in the establishment of a limited partnership and acquire the Caobao Road project. Chengtou Holdings announced on the evening of December 9 that the company's wholly-owned subsidiary, Housing Leasing Company, plans to jointly establish a limited partnership with the Shanghai State-owned Stock Assets Revitalization Private Equity Fund Partnership (Limited Partnership) (hereinafter referred to as "State-owned Inventory Fund"), with the contribution of the partnership not exceeding 800 million yuan, of which the housing leasing company is the limited partner. The partnership enterprise will take part in the acquisition of 100% equity of Shanghai Xinbanyu Real Estate Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "the target company") and the creditor's rights of shareholders' loan enjoyed by Huaxin Real Estate of the target company with its own and self-raised funds as the main body, and then invest in the rental housing property project of plot 244-19 of Tianlin Plate in Xuhui District (hereinafter referred to as "Caobao Road Project"). If the acquisition is completed, the target company will be included in the scope of the company's consolidated statements.
According to the National Stock Exchange of India (NSE), domestic funds in India sold 16.5 billion rupees of Indian stocks, while global funds bought 7.24 billion rupees of Indian stocks on December 9.The Gansu Provincial Department of Transportation launched a Class IV defense response to low-temperature rain, snow and freezing disasters, and the Lanzhou Central Meteorological Observatory issued a blue warning of blizzard at 10: 34 on December 9: It is expected that there will be heavy snow in Lanzhou, Baiyin, Dingxi, Linxia and other cities and States, as well as northern Gannan, western Tianshui, western Pingliang, western Qingyang, southern Zhangye and southern Wuwei from 15: 00 on the 9 th to 20: 00 on the 10 th; Blizzard will appear in southern Linxia, western Dingxi, southern Lanzhou and central Baiyin. According to the relevant provisions of "Emergency Plan for Highway Traffic Security in Gansu Province" and "Comprehensive Emergency Plan for Transportation in Gansu Province", the Gansu Provincial Department of Transportation decided to start the level IV defense response to the freezing rain, snow and ice disaster of transportation at 20: 00 on December 9.The British Chancellor of the Exchequer called on the EU to remove "unnecessary" trade barriers to Britain. It is reported that during his landmark visit to Brussels, British Chancellor of the Exchequer Reeves called on the EU to remove "unnecessary" trade barriers to Britain in order to promote economic growth. She said that in view of the fact that both Britain and the European Union are "struggling" in terms of economic growth, her goal is to persuade finance ministers of various countries to improve their post-Brexit relations. She said: "The first task of this government is to develop the economy ... and see the improvement of people's living standards. The fact is that these unnecessary trade barriers will lead to a decline in living standards and make it more difficult for British companies to be competitive on the global stage. " She added: "We all want to see our economy grow faster and be more competitive in the world ... One way to achieve this goal is to reduce some trade barriers. This is one of the arguments I will put forward when I meet my European counterparts today. "
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13